Friday, April 24, 2009

Double or Nothing

From Laurence J. Kotlikoff and Edward Leamer (Forbes.com A Banking System We Can Trust, April 23, 2009):
The system was supposed to channel our hard-earned savings into the best real investments: new homes, offices, factories, equipment and research. And it was supposed to correctly price our assets.

It did neither. Instead, Wall Street morphed into a vast gambling enterprise, generating massive trades of existing securities without, in fact, raising the investment rate or growing the economy.

During the dot-com bubble, Wall Street funded all manner of silly businesses, and during the housing bubble, it put millions of people in homes they couldn't afford. This "expertise," which cost one-tenth of our output, was delivered by the best and brightest, with half of Harvard's graduating classes becoming high-class croupiers.

The banking industry accomplished this with willing investors.

The only things missing were the sound of slot machines, flashing lights, and well-hidden exit doors.

There are three roads to ruin; women, gambling and technicians. The most pleasant is with women, the quickest is with gambling, but the surest is with technicians.


-Georges Pompidou, 1968