Friday, April 24, 2009

The Second Coming

From Ambrose Evans-Pritchard (Telegraph.co.uk, Germanys slump risks explosive mood as second banking crisis looms, April 24, 2009):
A detailed "stress test" of 17 lenders worldwide found that European banks have much lower reserve cushions than US banks, leaving them acutely vulnerable to the coming phase of rising defaults. "The biggest risk is in Europe," said Peter Jeggli, Credit Views founder.

Deutsche Bank has reserves to cover a default rate of 0.7pc, against non-performing assets NPAs of 1.67pc; RBS has 1.23pc against NPAs of 2.43pc, and Credit Agricole has 2.63pc against NPAs 3.64pc. None have put aside enough money.

By contrast, Citigroup has reserves of 4pc against NPAs of 3.22pc; and JP Morgan has 3.11pc against NPAs of 1.95pc.

There goes the neighborhood.